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The coming British elections
Sep. 29th, 2009 05:12 pmIf I were a betting man, I would not mind betting a few pounds on the following results:
- The Tories will get a majority of MPs, but less than they hoped for
- because there will be an explosion of non-aligned right-wing votes. The BNP, UKIP and the English Democrats all will poll several hundred thousand votes each and may achieve a fistful of seats.
- This will be the bell that saves Labour from annihilation, since in a lot of seats the Tories and the right-wing parties will fight each other to a standstill; but
-Labour will lose votes to the LibDems, and possibly to the Greens, as many "progressive" voters will decide to go to the strongest merchant; and, in Scotland, to the Scottish Socialists.
The result may be the most ungovernable House of Commons since the seventies.
- The Tories will get a majority of MPs, but less than they hoped for
- because there will be an explosion of non-aligned right-wing votes. The BNP, UKIP and the English Democrats all will poll several hundred thousand votes each and may achieve a fistful of seats.
- This will be the bell that saves Labour from annihilation, since in a lot of seats the Tories and the right-wing parties will fight each other to a standstill; but
-Labour will lose votes to the LibDems, and possibly to the Greens, as many "progressive" voters will decide to go to the strongest merchant; and, in Scotland, to the Scottish Socialists.
The result may be the most ungovernable House of Commons since the seventies.
