If and when Tsahal withdraws, Hamas, however badly mauled, will still be in control of Gaza. Men killed in battled will be replaced; tunnels destroyed will be dug deeper; and in a year or two we will all be exactly where we were before the campaign. I hope Israeli citizens remember this at the election.
I hope they do, too.
A firm Israel may actually make gains under Obama, because though his and especially his advisors' expressed sentiments are pro-Palestinian, all I've seen so far indicates that he is a mendacious weakling. Faced with a choice between disappointing his advisors and actively damaging America's position in the Mideast by antagonizing our most important ally in the region, he may very well choose to disappoint (or even "throw off the bus") his advisors.
Dubya wouldn't have done this, but then George W. Bush is a much stronger man.
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Date: 2009-01-19 01:47 pm (UTC)I hope they do, too.
A firm Israel may actually make gains under Obama, because though his and especially his advisors' expressed sentiments are pro-Palestinian, all I've seen so far indicates that he is a mendacious weakling. Faced with a choice between disappointing his advisors and actively damaging America's position in the Mideast by antagonizing our most important ally in the region, he may very well choose to disappoint (or even "throw off the bus") his advisors.
Dubya wouldn't have done this, but then George W. Bush is a much stronger man.